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Teams trending in opposite directions clash when the Phoenix Suns take on the Oklahoma City Thunder in a key Western Conference matchup on Wednesday. Oklahoma City crushed the undermanned Milwaukee Bucks 125-96 on Monday, while Phoenix dropped a 121-119 overtime decision at Portland that same night. The Suns (25-24), who have lost three of four, are 10-15 on the road this season. The Thunder (39-9), who have won three of four, are 21-3 on their home floor. Kevin Durant (ankle) is listed as doubtful amid speculation that he could be dealt before Thursday’s NBA Trade Deadline.
Tipoff from Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Okla., is set for 9:30 p.m. ET. The Thunder defeated the Suns 99-83 on Nov. 15 in their only meeting so far this year. The Thunder are 13-point favorites in the latest Suns vs. Thunder odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 229. OKC is at -775 on the money line (risk $775 to win $100), while Phoenix is at +536 (risk $100 to win $536). Before making any Thunder vs. Suns picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 16 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 144-102 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning well over $3,000. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Suns vs. Thunder and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Thunder vs. Suns:
- Suns vs. Thunder spread: Oklahoma City -13
- Suns vs. Thunder over/under: 229 points
- Suns vs. Thunder money line: Oklahoma City -775, Suns +536
- PHO: The Suns have hit the game total over in 25 of their last 39 road games (+9.60 units)
- OKC: The Thunder have hit the money line in 67 of their last 89 games (+17.70 units)
- Suns vs. Thunder picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Suns vs. Thunder streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why the Thunder can cover
Point guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been on fire recently. He has scored 27 or more points in each of the last 17 games, including a 54-point, eight-rebound, five-assist, three-steal and two-block performance in a 123-114 win over the Utah Jazz on Jan. 22. He scored 52 points with four assists and three rebounds in a 116-109 loss at Golden State on Jan. 29. In 47 games, all starts, he is averaging 32.5 points, six assists, 5.2 rebounds, two steals and one block in 34.1 minutes.
Forward Jalen Williams who missed Monday’s win over Milwaukee, is available for this one. Meanwhile, veteran guard Luguentz Dort poured in 20 points with seven rebounds in a 144-110 win over the Sacramento Kings on Saturday. He added 12 points and two rebounds in the win over the Bucks. In 46 games, all starts, he is averaging 9.9 points, 4.3 rebounds, 1.7 assists and one steal in 29 minutes. See which team to pick here.
Why the Suns can cover
While OKC tops the Western Conference, it has covered just twice over its last six games. Meanwhile, Phoenix is both a high-volume and high-efficiency 3-point shooting team, ranking ninth in makes and fourth in percentage. Additionally, Bradley Beal has excelled in his new role off the bench, with a 63.2% true shooting percentage as a reserve, compared to 57.6% as a starter. Beal dropped 25 points versus Portland on Monday and is averaging 19 points on 57.4% shooting over his last four games.
Shooting guard Devin Booker just became the Suns’ all-time leading scorer when he poured in 34 points in Monday’s loss at Portland. He had 37 points, five assists and four rebounds in Saturday’s 127-108 loss to the Trail Blazers. He registered a double-double with 31 points, 11 assists and five rebounds in a 130-105 win over the Golden State Warriors on Friday. In 44 games, all starts, he is averaging 26.1 points, 6.7 assists, four rebounds and 1.1 steals in 37.1 minutes. See which team to pick here.
How to make Thunder vs. Suns picks
The model has simulated Thunder vs. Suns 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is going Under the total, projecting 225 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 70% of simulations. You can only see the NBA picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Suns vs. Thunder, and which side of the spread hits nearly 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Suns vs. Thunder spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 144-102 roll on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.
